O'Neil Associates

Flight Safety

In our nation’s frightening new reality of increased terror risks and color-coded threat advisories, many people have begun to wonder if the additional steps we are taking have really made us any safer.  Our nation’s airports are among the most visibly impacted areas of our country, with new procedures and equipment implemented continuously in an effort to make us safer.  But, do the new security measures really make us feel any safer?  Is flying today safer than it was before September 11th?

According to a just-released survey, Valley business and community leaders have mixed views about the impact additional security efforts have on the safety of our nation’s airways.  The Valley Influentials Poll, which surveys members of Valley Leadership, East Valley Partnership, Greater Phoenix Leadership, and Westmarc assesses the opinions held by business and community leaders in the Valley.  These individuals both sway the opinions of the general public and tend to fly frequently.

Respondents were asked, “Do you feel that flying today is safer, about the same, or not as safe as it was prior to September 11th?”  While only a slim minority (6%) feel flying is now less safe, not everyone believes it has become safer.  Feelings are mixed, with some believing we are now safer and others feeling that our threat risk remains unchanged.  In fact, approximately half of respondents surveyed (51%) feel that flying today is about the same as it was before 9-11.  At the same time, the proportion feeling that flying today is safer (43%) does not vary drastically from the proportion seeing no change (51%).

Personal Safety and Worldviews

Republicans are significantly more likely than Democrats to feel that flying is now safer than it was prior to 9-11.  In fact, well over half of Republicans surveyed (54%) compared to just one-third of Democrats (32%) think flying is now safer.  This undoubtedly relates directly to differences of opinion between Republicans and Democrats about topics far removed from our airports, such as the war in Iraq and approval of Bush Administration’s overall response to 9-11. 

Similarly, those describing themselves as politically conservative feel that flying is safer post-9-11 than do those describing themselves as liberals.  A full 58% of conservatives believe flying now is safer than it was prior to September 11th.  By comparison, only 31% of self-described liberals believe that flying is now safer. 

The poll’s director Dr. Michael O’Neil commented, saying, “Clearly feelings are mixed about any improvement to flight safety.  The divergence of opinion, however, seems to stem more from political ideology and views about external events than it does from any direct assessment of the safety at our airports.  Of course, there is no reason to believe that Republicans inherently are safer than Democrats.  This is probably a spillover effect from Democrats feeling their guy is not at the helm and so they are just less positive in general.  Conversely, Republicans feel they have their guy running things and thus tend to give more favorable ratings on those things that are somewhat ambiguous.” 

 

About the Poll. The O’Neil Associates Valley Influentials Poll is a web-based survey that was sent to all members of Greater Phoenix Leadership, Valley Leadership, East Valley Partnership, and Westmarc. As such, this survey does not purport to be a random or representative sampling of the general population of the Phoenix metropolitan area. It would be difficult, however, to conceive of a more comprehensive representation from which to draw inferences about the opinions and sensibilities of business and community leaders than the combined membership of these organizations, although, inevitably, any definition of influentials is somewhat subjective. The persons surveyed are likely to exert disproportionate influence on and be an early indicator of community opinion by virtue of their position, community involvement, and political participation. The O’Neil Associates Valley Influentials Poll was not sponsored or paid for by any outside organization. 308 participants completed the survey between July 15 and Aug. 2, 2004, yielding a margin of error of ±5.7%. O’Neil Associates, Inc. is a Tempe-based public opinion research firm specializing in client-focused attitude and awareness studies for a wide variety of industries and organizations.
FOR RELEASE: Tuesday, November 16th 10:00pm                     (VIP 040-2004-05)
FURTHER INFORMATION: Michael O'Neil, Ph.D., 480-967-4441 ext. 221 These results may be reported freely provided that they are identified as the “O’Neil Associates Valley Influentials Poll” including identification on any graphic material.
O’Neil Associates has tracked public opinion across the Valley, Arizona, and the Nation since 1981. To be healthy, public debate must be informed—this is why we commit our resources to measuring opinions on the political and social issues people care about and talk about. O’Neil Associates, however, is much more than that. While the Valley Influentials Poll and Valley Monitor may be our most publicly visible activities, we do most of our work for private businesses and organizations as well as state and other public agencies. As a full-service research firm, we assist our clients with a broad range of research efforts to measure customer satisfaction, improve customer service, fine-tune public images, focus marketing campaigns, engineer products, increase market shares, strengthen employee relations, and plan, refine, and assess business strategies.
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